Sports betting strategies
Few would argue that it is always more enjoyable to watch a football match with an abundance of goals, and from both sides. Of course, if you are a neutral fan. That is why most of the bets, without taking into account the result, are made on goals – top total and exchange of goals.
Another nice moment – the bet can be entered at the beginning of the match, it is not even necessary to wait for the final whistle in order to take the profit.
The BTTS strategy, which is used by foreign bettors, is designed to play on the outcome “Both will score”. This is an understandable technique that does not require abstruse calculations and careful analysis. Although, the second point is negative. Always supplement your bet selection with analysis, even if the system does not provide for it. This will increase the chances of a favorable outcome, because you adhere not only to the rules of the strategy, but also support the forecast with some factors: form, composition, motivation, and so on.
- The essence of the strategy
- Example strategy
The essence of the strategy
The whole point is in the statistics of past meetings and simple calculations.
The main factor in the choice of matches is the percentage of meetings with “Both Will Score” in the past 10 matches. Compare your opponents and select those who, in the last 10 rounds, exchanged accurate punches at least 6 times.
Consider the data of the tournament you are betting on. If a club is playing in a cup or running a freight train, don't bet or count these games.
It is advisable not to consider the matches of the previous season, as there are many changes in the offseason. Apply the technique after 10 rounds.
Found meetings where OZ takes place in at least 60% of cases – what's next? Determine the average percentage – just add the% of opponents and divide the result in half. This gives the average probability of the outcome.
Then you need to understand whether the deal will be profitable – we divide 100 by the probability to get the odds of the outcome according to the bookmaker's version (in the form of a coefficient, excluding margin).
Compare the probabilities: if our odds are lower or the same, no bet is made. Bet when our probability is higher than that of the bookmaker.
Consider the Japanese championship match between Kawasaki and Vissel Kobe. In the last 10 rounds of the hosts 6 times (60%) bets were made on the OZ, and in the last 10 rounds of the guests – 8 times (80%).
The average probability is 60 + 80/2 = 140/2 = 70%.
Determine the ratio – 100/70% = 1.43.
Bookmaker Betcity gives od 1.42 to the market. According to the terms of the strategy, you do not need to place a bet.
Looking for another meeting. For example, Cereso Osaka – Sapporo.
The exchange of goals took place in 6 out of 10 past rounds of the first team and in 7 out of 10 previous rounds of the second team. It turns out 60 and 70%, respectively.
Find out the average probability – 60 + 70/2 = 130/2 = 65%.
We calculate the coefficient – 100/65% = 1.54.
The bookmaker has set odds of 1.73. If you stick to the system, then you need to bet.
The strategy is suitable for those who love mathematical calculations. Everything is so simple that you can determine the probabilities in your head (except perhaps for the coefficient).
The method has a right to exist, but it is better to add analysis to it. Let's say the calculations say that you need to place a bet, but the leader and the underdog meet. Better to refrain from betting or consider another outcome.